How to Pick Tops and Bottoms

Stories of hitting absolute bottoms and tops may sound cool over dinner with friends, or win the praise of others in Forex forums. After all, who wouldn't like a little street cred for accurately picking the most recent highs and lows? This desire can affect beginning and seasoned traders alike. Beginning traders may easily confuse luck for skill, or seek to build their confidence by proving they're right about the market. Similarly, seasoned professionals may wish to prove their "expertise" in order to sell more products.

However, the only way to pick a bottom or top is to give up on trading with the trend and start guessing when it will reverse. If a trader's account is big enough and positions small enough, eventually that trader will be able to say he or she predicted the turn correctly.

Do you remember the movie "Back to the Future II", when Biff got his hands on the Gray's Sports Almanac, brought it back from the future, and then used it to bet with.. it changed his destiny... he got filthy stinking rich. That's the power of knowing the future. If you want to change your destiny like Biff, by knowing future reversal dates, then this is the most important information you will ever find about trading.

Much like Back to the Future II, there really is a system that tells you in advance when the market will reverse and do it consistently and accurately. It's as if you somehow got your hands on the future editions of the Wall Street Journal to trade with... it's an unfair edge... and it will change your future like it changed Biff's future.

Nobody has ever told you about this because...
Nobody Else Knows About It!

I know all about trading with the trend, the trend being your friend until whenever and so on. But whenever I look at a nice strong move I think two things – firstly, I’ve missed the best part of this move and secondly, it’s got to turn now... surely, there is strong support or resistance right here. I’ll enter now...good entry....price is pausing.....turn baby turn...please..please..can’t take it any longer... eat the loss... if I only joined the trend... why did I try and catch a falling knife..!!!

Why do I always try to pick tops or bottoms? I’ll tell you why – because it feels so damn good when I get it right! But therein lies the danger – get it right once and it gets to you like a drug and then it kills you slowly. Picking tops and bottoms feels so macho, I imagine that’s what the ‘real’ traders, the big swinging ones do all the time – how I envy them! I can’t do it and I know it. I am far better off joining an existing trend during a short term retracement. It is less risky, better odds and will do a lot for my longevity in this game!

Am I the only one suffering from the deadly top/bottom picking syndrome?
Let's have a look, how to pick Tops and Bottoms properly..!

Plan Your Trade and Trade Your Plan

Once you are in the trade you are always under pressure, don't you?, so how can you ease the pressure ?

1. Proper Risk Management
If you will cut your losses than this eases pressure. however, behind your mind you are always focusing that your money is on line, and this does not help, a well thought out entry trade will give you more confidence, you should gradually take profits, so when trading multiple lots, you may want to gradually close portions of your trade. for example if you have traded 4 lots, you will close the first lot for 20 pips, second lot for 30 pips, third lot for 50 pips and letting the final lot run with a trailing stop profit. having banked profits gradually gives you confidence, and the effects of emotions are reduced.

2. Controlling Your Impulses
When your entry orders are executed, how can you be calm, relaxed and in complete control? you often abandon your trading plan and act irrationally and than panic and trade when you did not have to, the best way to gain control is to be organized in your daily activities, and this often filters into your trading life. you MUST impose structure and follow it, so for example one way to do this have a detailed trading plan, "PLAN YOUR TRADE AND TRADE YOUR PLAN".

3. Be Objective
When your entry orders are executed, often it is very difficult to be objective, and now you start thinking emotionally, the fear factor sets in, what if i lose? what if the profits turn into a loss? how will I pay my bills? how will I pay my debts? how come I can buy a new car ?, if…if…and if. so when you focus on your emotions, you start to be panic and what you really want to do is to be objective in your though process. you are using your conscious mind, therefore the conscious mind is the most important of all, for through it the ego governs and can also govern the subconscious mind.

10 Common Mistakes Should Avoid in Forex Trading

In forex trading over 90% of traders lose ALL Their money. If you don’t want to join this group and enjoy currency trading success, you need to avoid them all.

Here are the 10 common mistakes forex traders make and how to avoid them:
1. Day Trading
The biggest error made by novice traders is to think that day trading works, it doesn’t. Why? Because all short term price movements are random. It is impossible to calculate the odds of where prices will go in such short time frames and the result is a loss of the trader’s equity. Ever seen a day trading record in real time? Neither have I and you wont because it doesn’t work.

2. Buying Systems From Vendors
There are plenty of Vendors on the net prepared to sell you their “secrets” for $100 odd dollars, don’t fall for them!. They normally come with hypothetical track records done in hindsight and anyone can make money knowing the closing prices. The problem is you have to trade not knowing them. Its obvious most currency trading systems sold are junk and the vendor makes money appealing to greed of the buyer NOT trading the system themselves.

3. Trading off News Stories
There is more news than ever and its all so convincing, the problem is its impossible to trade it. Why? Because the currency markets discount news instantly and move on future perception so trading news stories is futile.

4. Predicting the market
Another great myth in currency trading is that markets can be predicted with scientific accuracy. Well, if this was true there would be no market, as we would all know the price in advance!. King of the theories is Elliot wave, which claims to be objective and scientific, yet leaves the user to make subjective judgments.

5. Being to subjective
Many traders like to be subjective when executing forex trading signals with their currency trading systems, but this simply allows their emotions to get involved. They really should use indicators that are objective and have specific rules in their forex trading strategy, but they like to shoot from the hip and lose.

6. Making a system to complicated
Many traders think that the more complicated they make their forex trading system the better, after all 10 indicators must be better than 3 or 4. Wrong! In forex trading, it’s a fact that simple systems work best, as they are more robust in the brutal world of trading.

7. Poor Money Management
Most traders have no money management strategy at all. You need to execute your trading signals, then the hard part begins, preserving your equity and making it grow. Initial stop placement and how you move them are critical to your success and most traders don’t have a clue about how to do this.

8. Chasing the tail
Many traders have perfectly good trading systems, but cant handle drawdowns, so they simply try a new system. If of course they had stayed with the system they had in many cases they would have made money, but they lack patience.

9. Poor Discipline
Most traders have heard the word, but have no idea what it is and trade with their emotions involved and lose. Discipline is based upon knowledge, understanding and confidence and as most traders fail to develop their own forex trading strategy properly (most try and buy success from a vendor) the result is failure.

10. Trading too much
Most traders simply lack patience and trade too much. This of course goes for the losing day trading crowd, but also a lot of other traders, they try and force the market to give them profits, trade when they shouldn’t and lose. Most people who trade forex shouldn’t, as they have no chance of winning from the start and will make one, or more of the above 10 mistakes.
If you think you can win at forex trading, ask yourself this simple question.
What is my edge that will enable me to enter the winning minority of traders?
If you don’t know what your edge is or you don’t have one, so get one or forget forex trading.
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